Industry News

March 8, 2025

India's Trade Growth in 2025: Trends and Opportunities

Stock market growth chart

India's trade landscape is undergoing a historic transformation. With strategic government initiatives, digital infrastructure upgrades, and evolving global supply chains, India is positioned to become a $2 trillion export economy by 2030. Here's a deep dive into the trends shaping India's trade in 2025.

Record-Breaking Export Numbers

India's total merchandise and services exports crossed the $770 billion mark in FY 2024-25, with ambitious targets set for $800 billion+ in the coming year. Key contributing sectors include:

  • IT & Services: $340 billion (India's single largest export category)
  • Petroleum products: $85 billion
  • Gems & Jewelry: $38 billion
  • Pharmaceuticals: $28 billion
  • Textiles & Apparel: $35 billion
  • Engineering goods: $107 billion

Key Growth Drivers

Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme

The PLI scheme across 14 sectors — including electronics, auto components, textiles, and pharmaceuticals — is driving domestic manufacturing and export capacity. Over $30 billion in investments have been committed under PLI, with electronics manufacturing alone seeing 40% year-on-year growth.

Free Trade Agreements

New and updated FTAs are opening doors for Indian exporters. The India-UAE CEPA, India-Australia ECTA, and ongoing negotiations with the EU and UK are expected to significantly reduce tariff barriers and boost bilateral trade volumes.

Digital Trade Infrastructure

India's investments in digital trade infrastructure are paying dividends:

  • ICEGATE: Fully digitized customs processing reducing clearance time to hours
  • Single Window Interface: One platform for all trade-related clearances
  • E-Sanchit: Paperless document submission for imports and exports
  • Faceless Assessment: Automated customs assessment reducing human intervention

Emerging Sectors to Watch

Green Hydrogen & Clean Energy

India aims to become a global hub for green hydrogen production and export. With $2 billion allocated under the National Green Hydrogen Mission, this sector could generate $50 billion in exports by 2030.

Electronics Manufacturing

India's electronics exports have grown from $11 billion in 2020 to over $30 billion in 2025. With Apple, Samsung, and other global brands expanding Indian manufacturing, this trajectory is set to accelerate further.

Defense & Aerospace

India's defense exports have grown 10x in the last five years, crossing $2.5 billion. BrahMos missiles, HAL helicopters, and various defense electronics are finding buyers in Southeast Asia, Middle East, and Africa.

Agricultural Value-Added Products

Moving beyond raw agricultural exports, India is increasingly exporting processed foods, organic products, and branded agricultural goods. The organic food export market alone has grown 30% year-on-year.

"India is no longer just a sourcing destination — it's becoming a manufacturing powerhouse. The China+1 strategy adopted by global companies is India's biggest trade opportunity in decades."

Challenges & How to Overcome Them

  • Logistics costs: Still 14-16% of GDP vs 8-10% in developed nations. PM Gati Shakti aims to bring this down through multi-modal infrastructure.
  • Quality standards: Meeting international certifications remains a hurdle for SMEs. Government testing labs and BIS standards are being upgraded.
  • Trade finance gaps: Only 20% of MSME exporters have adequate trade finance. Fintech platforms and ECGC are expanding coverage.
  • Geopolitical risks: Red Sea disruptions and global trade tensions require diversified logistics routes and market strategies.

The Road Ahead

India's trade story is one of immense potential. Platforms like BharatkartX are making it easier for small and medium businesses to participate in global trade by removing traditional barriers of buyer discovery, documentation, and logistics. The future belongs to Indian exporters who embrace technology, quality, and global partnerships.

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